Accruals, cash flows, and aggregate stock returns☆
نویسندگان
چکیده
منابع مشابه
Accruals , cash flows , and aggregate stock returns $
This paper examines whether the firm-level accrual and cash flow effects extend to the aggregate stock market. In sharp contrast to previous firm-level findings, aggregate accruals is a strong positive time series predictor of aggregate stock returns, and cash flows is a negative predictor. In addition, innovations in accruals are negatively contemporaneously correlated with aggregate returns, ...
متن کاملPredicting Stock Market Returns with Aggregate Discretionary Accruals∗
We find that the positive relation between aggregate accruals and one-year-ahead market returns documented in Hirshleifer, Hou and Teoh [2009] is driven by discretionary accruals but not normal accruals. The return forecasting power of aggregate discretionary accruals is robust to choices of sample periods, return measurements, estimation methods, business condition and risk premium proxies, an...
متن کاملQuarterly Accruals or Cash Flows? Return Analysis
This study explores the incremental roles of accruals and net operating cash flows in generating abnormal returns using quarterly and rolling four-quarter data for the entire population of firms, as well as specific industries. Our results show that quarterly net operating cash flow (OCF) is a stronger signal about subsequent quarter’s returns than accruals, and that this result is also true fo...
متن کاملDemographics , Stock Market Flows , and Stock Returns ∗
This paper studies the link between population age structure, net outflows (dividends plus repurchases less net issues) from the stock market, and stock market returns in an overlapping generations framework. I find support for the traditional lifecycle models — the outflows from the stock market are positively correlated with the changes in the fraction of old people (65 and over) and negative...
متن کاملPredictability of Returns and Cash Flows ∗ Ralph
We review the literature on return and cash flow growth predictability form the perspective of the present-value identity. We focus predominantly on recent work. Our emphasis is on U.S. aggregate stock return predictability, but we also discuss evidence from other asset classes and countries. JEL classification: G10, G12, G14, G35.
متن کاملذخیره در منابع من
با ذخیره ی این منبع در منابع من، دسترسی به آن را برای استفاده های بعدی آسان تر کنید
ژورنال
عنوان ژورنال: Journal of Financial Economics
سال: 2009
ISSN: 0304-405X
DOI: 10.1016/j.jfineco.2007.11.009